Appeal to Probability
Is a statement that takes something for granted because it would probably be the case (or might be the case).
My doctor says that my family history gives me a 35% chance of heart disease so I don't see any need to change my diet.
[We] must deal from this day on with nations greedy of every market we are to invade; nations with statesmen trained in craft, nations with ships and guns and money and men...the world still rubs its eyes from its awakening to the resistless power and sure destiny of this republic.
Millions of American families are dealing with teenage pregnancy...It is true that some Americans will judge Governor Palin and her family. There's nothing anyone can do about it.
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